Yeah your probably right more like from 2025-2028. Yeah they could activate those last 8 orders plus those 4 options. The A380neo might be out by then. Although I believe Qantas will choose the B7779X/8X for A380 replacement aircraft. All Boeing International (787-9/10 & B777X) fleet must be good for maintence.

How long to you think they will keep the 747ERs for? Could they keep them until the B777X is available (and order the B777X just for A380 replacement aircraft) or replace them in FY2020-FY2021 with 787-9s?

Or by mid too late 2020s and the A380neo is launched by then it seem more attractive with traffic numbers picking up etc.

Depending on if Qantas choose either the A320neo or 737MAX could determine what B717 replacement aircraft they choose B737-7MAX or A319neo?

I love reading talk of A380 replacement !! Keep it coming :)

IMHO those aircraft are too big to replace the B717s and we're more likely to be looking at C-Series or E2.

Yeah I guess so. Although the 737-7MAX is only 20 seats more than the C series and with 700miles more range. But yeah the a319neo look is to be around 40 more than C series an 1700mikes more range is a bit to excessive to replace the B717. Do you think Qantas will increase the A320neo order so Qantas and Jetstar are both A320neos? Or Qantas will order the 737MAX?

If Qantas did place a seperate order for the 737-8MAX for 738 replacement I believe they would head straight also to order the B737-7 MAX. Helps fleet simplification.

The Max7 is not much of an aircraft unless you need to operate out of a very small strip (<1700m), as Southwest and some Latin American customers must. All the costs of a 738 (or Max8) for fewer seats. It doesn't sell. With good reason. The A319neo and the current A319 is in a similar sales doldrum. If you want a 100 (or 120 seater) you need something designed as such. ie the CSeries or E2 range.

Yeah sure I understand your point.