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  #1  
Old 31st January 2011, 12:32 PM
Mick F Mick F is offline
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Default Tropical Cyclone Yasi

Afternoon all,
Have been watching the cyclones of late very closely, hoping that I won't end up back in Brisy because of more flooding in Rockhampton, but after monitoring Cyclone Yasi over the last day or so, my wish isn't looking that great if it hits anywhere near the Rocky area, .

Handy link, showing an animated satellite image of the South West Pacific region, TC Yasi quite visible. http://www.goes.noaa.gov/sohemi/sohe...hirgmscol.html

The shear size of it is absolutely amazing. It'd be interesting to know how large the area actually is that contains gail force and destructive winds, but going on what other cyclones are normally like, the gail force winds area normally is the same size as the visible cyclone itself!

One to certainly keep an eye on if you're a keen weather watcher.

Mick
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  #2  
Old 31st January 2011, 02:33 PM
Geoff W Geoff W is offline
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Mick,

I agree that is a real monster.

Hope it chills out a bit (a lot) before it hits any part of the east coast.

With still some water to cover yet before it hits, makes that a tough ask!

My fingers are crossed for all in Qld, I think you have had more than enough for one or more years.

Kind regards,

Geoff
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  #3  
Old 31st January 2011, 06:08 PM
Russell D Russell D is offline
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Great link Mick. That's far better than some of the track maps the Aussie BOM website displays. Really does show the sheer size of the monster!

However, this is the BOM's current plot for Severe TC Yasi: http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDQ65002.shtml
The track plot has coloured regions indicating gale force, destructive, and very destructive wings.

Currently it's a Cat 3, but it's expected to intensify to a Cat 4 very close of the Townsville-Ayr coast. Definitely one to keep an eye on.

Cheers
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  #4  
Old 31st January 2011, 07:50 PM
Jason H Jason H is offline
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I have family in Ingham, which is right where the epicentre is expected to be. It's a bit hectic up there at the moment.
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  #5  
Old 1st February 2011, 03:33 PM
Geoff W Geoff W is offline
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Gee Andrew I SO wish I could disagree with you, but I cant.

All the best to your family and all other board members and the whole community/ies of FNQ.

Take lots of care at this time.

Kind regards,

Geoff
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  #6  
Old 1st February 2011, 09:09 PM
Daniel M Daniel M is offline
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Briefing for Cairns:

wouldn't want to be there at 9pm tomorrow!

Quote:
CAIRNS (YBCS)
TAF YBCS 011031Z 0112/0212
15015G25KT 9999 LIGHT SHOWERS OF RAIN SCT025
FM011800 16025G35KT 9999 LIGHT SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN025
FM020200 16035G50KT 9999 LIGHT SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN025
FM020800 16050G70KT 6000 RAIN BKN015
FM021100 160100G140KT 2000 RAIN BKN010 OVC015
INTER 0112/0124 4000 SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN018
TEMPO 0200/0208 1000 RAIN BKN015
TEMPO 0208/0212 0500 HEAVY RAIN BKN005 OVC010
RMK
T 27 26 25 26 Q 1008 1007 1005 1005

TAF YBCS 010421Z 0106/0206
15015G25KT 9999 LIGHT SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN025
FM011800 16025G35KT 9999 LIGHT SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN025
FM020200 16035G50KT 9999 LIGHT SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN025
INTER 0106/0124 4000 SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN018
TEMPO 0200/0206 1000 RAIN BKN015
RMK
T 30 28 26 25 Q 1006 1007 1008 1007

TTF METAR YBCS 011100Z 16009KT 9999 FEW025 SCT060 28/23 Q1008
RMK RF00.0/000.2
INTER 1130/1400 4000 SHOWERS OF RAIN BKN018

METAR YBCS 011100Z 16009KT 9999 FEW025 SCT060 28/23 Q1008
RMK RF00.0/000.2

ATIS YBCS P 011007
APCH: EXP INSTR APCH
RWY: 15
+ WIND: 140/15
VIS: GT 10 KM
CLD: FEW020 FEW030
+ TMP: 28
+ QNH: 1008
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  #7  
Old 1st February 2011, 09:22 PM
Rob R Rob R is offline
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At least it's straight down the runway, however it may be a very slow final.
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  #8  
Old 1st February 2011, 09:24 PM
Daniel M Daniel M is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rob R View Post
At least it's straight down the runway, however it may be a very slow final.
...particularly in a C172!
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  #9  
Old 1st February 2011, 09:34 PM
Craig Murray's Avatar
Craig Murray Craig Murray is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daniel M View Post
FM021100 160100G140KT 2000 RAIN BKN010 OVC015
That's 259.28km/h

I'll assume this to be outside the crosswind limits for most aircraft!

There are plenty of movements to/from Far North QLD this evening moving both people and aircraft to safer locations.
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  #10  
Old 1st February 2011, 09:47 PM
Rob R Rob R is offline
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Yep most aircraft including commercial jets have a x-wind limit of 30-40 kts. However some aircraft only list a demonstrated x-wind, which means on the day they did the test they did not get to test the full limit as there was not enough x-wind.

With that wind landing on RWY 15 in CS if your were stupid to give it a go would only give you a few Knots of x-wind, but even if the aircraft I fly which has Vref speeds for landing of 120 -140 knots final would be rather slow and not very nice
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